College football picks, week 13 early line value predictions for rivalry week

It’s Rivalry Week and our college football tips and predictions give you an extra incentive to fill your holiday weekend with football. Take advantage of some early line values ​​from the last Tuesday of MACtion midweek, as well as the Thanksgiving Egg Bowl and a range of Black Friday games.

Week 13 college football tips and predictions

Take advantage of every opportunity that presents itself with an early line value. Especially those offered by sports betting providers. DraftKings Sportsbook is giving you $200 free as a new user if you bet $5 on a moneyline this week.

Bowling Green vs. Ohio (56.5 points)

Expect fireworks in this game as the Bowling Green Falcons can get back into the MAC Championship game with a win over the Ohio Bobcats. However, Ohio’s offense has been on fire since the beginning of October and they have won six straight.

However, Bowling Green, winner of five of the last seven and four of the last five, is no slouch. The Falcons will have Week 12 Team of the Week member Odieu Hiliare at receiver’s every turn as Matt McDonald heads into this matchup after a four-touchdown performance in which he averaged 11 yards per pass attempt.

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McDonald is having a career year in his fourth season at Bowling Green, shortening his layoff and clearly seeing the field like he’s never seen it. Going up against a high school in Ohio that’s arguably the worst in the nation, at least on paper, just means we’ll see some points.

BGSU also allowed Toledo backup QB Tucker Gleason to score 35 points a week ago. Both Ohio and Bowling Green have conceded 26 total through-air touchdowns this season, ranking third in the country. With both quarterbacks having career years behind them and opposing defenses clearly struggling to defend the pass, 56.5 points seems incredibly low.

forecast: Ohio 34, Bowling Green 30

Ball State (+2.5) vs. Miami (OH)

With both teams at stake, the winner of this matchup will qualify for the bowl and the other will end their 2022 season with a losing record. Ball State has struggled offensively this season, scoring 21 points or fewer in four of its last six conference games.

Miami is also struggling on offense but found its groove recently with Brett Gabbert’s return and Aveon Smith rushing the ball well a week ago. However, for both programs, consistency is the key to success. However, neither team has determined that this will be easy in 2022.

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The biggest asset in this game is Carson Steele’s rushing ability for Ball State. The Cardinals running back has 12 touchdowns this year and is averaging over five yards per carry. The RedHawks only allow 116.4 yards per play on the ground, while Steele himself is averaging over 120 yards rushing.

Steele has rushed for 100 yards in eight games this year. His bloody style physically dominates and ultimately wears down opposing defenses. In a bowl game on the line, expect both defenses to fight back, but Steele ultimately takes over.

forecast: Ball State 28, Miami (OH) 27

State of Mississippi (+3.5) vs. Ole Miss

The egg bowl has become a Thanksgiving staple for college football fans. The fight pits two of the sport’s most enigmatic coaches against one another. Mike Leach brings his Mississippi State Bulldogs to Oxford against Lane Kiffin’s Ole Miss Rebels, each with something different to play for.

At one point, Ole Miss was 7-0 and looking at the outside of a college football playoff berth. However, the SEC game caught up with them. They’ve lost three of their last four and gained just three points against a hapless Texas A&M team since mid-October.

Jaxson Dart has struggled to find his receivers consistently in bottom field this stint, throwing five touchdowns in his last four games compared to 10 TDs in his previous six games. Dart’s arm strength has never been questioned, but when he’s forced to look down, the misses come in droves.

Mississippi State CB Emmanuel Forbes is in the process of setting the FBS record for career interceptions returned with his sixth career pick-six for touchdowns, and the Bulldogs know a thing or two about taking football away.

Also, Ole just allowed Miss Arkansas to throw and run all of their defense while Raheim Sanders had three touchdowns and KJ Jefferson threw three points on their struggling defense. Is Kiffin eyeing the Auburn job and losing focus on this Ole Miss team?

The rumors continue to circulate and the pirate can smell blood. The state of Mississippi demands revenge for last season.

forecast: State of Mississippi 35, Ole Miss 31

Florida vs. Florida State (-7.5)

The Florida State Seminoles are red hot. They’ve surpassed their last four opponents by a 173-to-39 aggregate lead, and 14 of those points came from Louisiana in last weekend’s trash time.

Florida, on the other hand, is reeling from a loss to Vanderbilt for the second time in program history. The Gators lack an identity and have one of the worst defenses in the SEC.

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Despite FSU’s struggles with scrambling quarterbacks in recent history, this defense the Noles bring against Florida is different. Jammie Robinson calls the shots at his safety position while DJ Lundy, Tatum Bethune and the linebacking corps brilliantly set the rim.

FSU has the athleticism and talent in all the right places to mitigate the biggest strength currently showing in UF QB Anthony Richardson’s game: his legs. The Seminoles can have double-digit wins with a win over Florida and a bowl win, better believe that’s what they have in mind.

Noles take it to their rival Gators on Black Friday, giving new head trainer Billy Napier a real taste of the rivalry.

forecast: State of Florida 41, Florida 20

NC State vs. North Carolina (-6.5)

The North Carolina Tar Heels were left out in the cold on offense against Georgia Tech. Somehow, the Yellow Jackets ended UNC’s Longshot bid to enter the College Football Playoffs and struggled to even complete a pass late in the game.

Those errors were mostly individual though, as Drake Maye played well but was outplayed by drops and quick internal pressure from Keion White. NC State has struggled to develop a competent passing game, dropped three of its last five games and narrowly edged out Virginia Tech and Wake Forest by a combined 10 points since Devin Leary’s season-ending injury.

The Wolfpack have had just 30 points in their last two games, 20 of which came despite a loss to an ill-fated Boston College defense. It’s a dire situation for NC State offensively while their defense has been placed in awkward situations.

Against a high profile UNC offense, this NC State defense will surely be tested on deep shots and under passes. Watch for Josh Downs to have a big day down the middle as an exhausted NC State Linebacking Corps is missing several members.

forecast: North Carolina 35, NC State 17


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